exercise · all tools
Three Horizons
Depth · what it can open●○○○1 — informational
Holding · facilitation2 — facilitator
Trust · group readiness★any
Disclosure · what is sharednone
A shared map of change over time drawn as three intersecting curves: Horizon 1, the dominant system losing fit; Horizon 3, the future pattern wanting to emerge; Horizon 2, the turbulent zone of innovations between them that either prop up H1 or serve H3. Groups place their work on the curves and discover which future their busy-ness actually feeds.
Practical
- Time
- 90-150 min
- Group
- 3–40 · small-group, large-group
- Settings
- in-person, online
- Materials
- Large three-curve template; sticky notes
- Mechanisms
- systems-sensing, perspective-taking, cognitive-reframing
- Change scope
- state → skill · repeatable
Origin & where it lives
Bill Sharpe (International Futures Forum) — Futures practice / transformative innovation
Instructions: open online
In this directory via HostingTransformation Methods ToolBox
Related: critical uncertainties (alternative-to)
status: checked · added 2026-08-25